The Center for Opinion Polls Releases the Results of its Latest Questionnaire
In its effort to make more fruitful studies and researches across the Palestinian community, the Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies, one of An-Najah National University centers; released the results of its latest questionnaire which focused on the resignation of Abu Mazins government, Ceasefire, Roadmap, the Israeli decision of the deportation of president Arafat and the new elections of the Palestinian Parliament.
Following are the results of the second public opinion poll conducted by the Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies at An-Najah National University between September, 11 and 13, 2003. The University took full sponsorship of the whole poll.
This poll undertakes issues focused basically on the resignation of the Prime Minister and the entrusting of Ahmed Qurai with the formation of a new government, the destiny of the Rood Map, the possibility of the declaration of a new ceasefire, the performance of Palestinian institutions, Palestinian Legislative Council elections and the political affiliation.
The sample included persons whose age group is 18 and above and who have the right to vote. The sample forms one per thousand from among the total numbers of Palestinian people of this age group.
The enclosed questionnaire was distributed on 1372 persons; 871 persons from the West Bank and 501 persons from Gaza Strip.
The sample was chosen randomly and the margin of error of the sample is about one per thousand; 2% of the members of the sample refused to answer the questionnaire.
The Major Results of the Poll:
The Poll shows that 32.6% of the respondents believe that Israel will deport President Arafat, while 63.4% believe that Israel will not.
While 50.5% expect that the situation in the area will deteriorate and a new uprising (Intifada) will ensue, 18.8% expect chaos in the Palestinian territories if Israel does deport Arafat.
While 60.8% of the respondents support the resignation of Abu Mazen’s government, 28.2% opposed it.
73% of the respondents assert that the resignation of Abu Mazen’s government will not put an end to the conflict over responsibilities and duties within the Palestinian Authority.
From among the respondents 72% believe that the new Prime Minister, Ahmad Qurai, will face the same problems that Abu Mazen faced especially as relates to the responsibilities granted to him.
Only 19.6% saw that the absence of a law delineating the responsibilities of the President and the Prime Minister led to the resignation of Abu Mazen’s government.
51.5% of the respondents support Arafat’s decision to entrust Ahmad Qurai with the formation of a new government.
From among the respondents, 53.6% believe that Ahmad Qurai is incapable of performing the duties of a prime minister in a full manner.
67.9% believe that Ahmad Qurai will face the same problems that Mahmoud Abbas faced.
60.3% from among the respondents requested that there should be a clear separation of responsibilities between those of the President and those of the Prime Minister.
From among the respondents 57.4% believe that Ahmad Qurai will execute all the obligations presented in the Road Map.
56.6% believe that the new government will not succeed in fulfilling its obligations stated in the Road Map.
51.5% support the Palestinian commitment to all items of the Road Map after the announcement made by the US Administration that the US is still committed to it.
75.8% from among the respondents believe that the Road Map will not lead to the creation of a Palestinian State.
As for the National Authority, 50.8% believe that it is incapable of fulfilling its obligations stated in the Road Map.
While 54.1% of the respondents believe that Israel will only comply with the items of the Road Map that don’t contradict its interest, 33.7% believe that Israel will comply only with some items.