جامعة النجاح الوطنية
An-Najah National University

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An-Najah National University

 

Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies

Tel: (972) (9) 2345113           Fax: (972)(9) 2345982

Nablus – Palestinian: P.O. Box 7, 707

Email: [email protected]            [email protected]

 

Results of Palestinian Public Opinion Poll

No. 44

6-8 April 2012

 

Background

A reconciliation agreement was signed in Doha under Qatari auspices between President Mahmoud Abbas and Mr. Khalid Mishal but the agreement has not been implemented despite the fact that it was signed more than two months ago. Among the precepts of the agreement is the formation of a national reconciliatory government from among the independent intellectual experts headed by Mahmoud Abbas whose mission is to facilitate presidential and legislative elections and which would begin the restoration of Gaza. Such government has not been formed yet and both Fateh and Hamas lay the blame on each other for the failure so far to implement the reconciliation agreement and to achieve the formation of a national unity government

The Government of Dr. Salam Fayyad revealed a deficit in the budget of the Palestinian Authority (PA) which exceeds one billion dollars and declared that some  procedures are going to be implemented to reduce the deficit.

 

The Results

Following are the results of the Palestinian Public Opinion Poll no. 44 conducted by the Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies at An-Najah National University during the period from 6-8 April 2012. The University sponsors all polls conducted by its Center.

Palestinian Public Opinion Poll no 44 undertakes Palestinian public opinion in the emerging political realities on the Palestinian scene including the Palestinian reconciliation and the possibilities of the implementation of the Doha agreement. This poll also undertakes the economic situation in the Palestinian territories, the possibility of conducting presidential, legislative and city council elections in addition to the political affiliations of Palestinian people.

 

The sample included 1361 persons whose age group is 18 and above and who have the right to vote. The enclosed questionnaire was distributed on 800 persons from the West Bank and 500 persons from the Gaza Strip. The sample was drawn randomly and the margin of error is about ±3%; still 2.7% of the members of the sample refused to answer the questionnaire.

 

 

_____________________________________________________________________

The opinions represented in the results reflect those of the study; they do not, by any means, represent the opinion of An-Najah National University.

 

 

The General Results:

 

  • 31.6% of respondents believed that the Doha agreement which was signed between President Mahmoud Abbas and Mr. Khalid Mishal to end the Palestinian division will succeed; 61.3% believed that it will fail.
  • 31.7% of respondents believed that the Doha agreement which was signed between President Mahmoud Abbas and Mr. Khalid Mishal to end the Palestinian division  is possible to implement; 62.1% believed that it is not.
  • 38% saw that Hamas is the responsible party for deferring the implementation of the reconciliation agreement which was signed between Fateh and Hamas in Doha; 12.3 % saw that Fateh is the responsible party
  • 59.7% of respondents believed that some Arab countries seek preventing the implementation of the Doha agreement
  • 37.9% of respondents believed that Hamas is the part which benefits most from deferring the implementation of the reconciliation agreement; 16.3% believed Fateh is the party which benefits most
  • 35.9% of respondents believed that Hamas is not concerned with implementing the reconciliation agreement while 10.4% believed that it is Fateh which is not concerned.
  • 38.1% of respondents said that they are optimistic towards the prospects of implementing the reconciliation agreement in the near future; 57.2% said that they are pessimistic.
  • 43.3% of respondents believed that the sides of the Palestinian dialogue, particularly Fateh and Hamas, are not concerned with ending the Palestinian division
  • 58.9% of respondents believed that a successful implementation of the reconciliation agreement will influence them personally in a positive way.
  • 41.1% of respondents believed that deferring the implementation of the reconciliation agreement is the result of some decision makers’ endeavor to achieve personal interests, 33.7%  believed that it is the result of decision makers’ endeavors to achieve certain interests for their parties and political movements, 20.1% believed that it is the result of endeavors to achieve regional interests. 
  • 13% of respondents believed that the delay in the implementation of the reconciliation agreement is the result of some Arab pressure on some Palestinian parties, 25.1% believed that the delay is the result of regional pressure, 25.7% believed that it is the result of the factional interests of Hamas and Fateh, 8.7% believed that it is the result of personal economic interests, and 22.9% believed that it is the result of personal political interests.
  • 40.9% of respondents believed that the implementation of the Palestinian  reconciliation agreement will speed and support the peace process; 34.6% believed that it will hinder and delay the peace process.
  • 57.5% of respondents said that the most capable procedure to end the Palestinian division is for Palestinian people to go down to the streets and to hold sit ins in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, 21.2% said that the most capable procedure is pressure exerted by the Palestinian movements and organizations, 4.7% said it is pressure exerted by trade unions, and 8.7% said it is pressure exerted by civil society institutions.
  • 64.4% of respondents said that the most powerful method to end the Palestinian division comes from pressure exerted by the Palestinian public, 15.7% said that it comes from Arab political pressure, and 17.2% said that it comes from foreign political pressure.
  • 25.4% of respondents believed that the Palestinian reconciliation can only be achieved by Palestinian internal dialogue; 11.8% said that it can only be achieved by some intervention from Arab countries to bring together the two points of view of Fateh and Hamas.
  • 33% of respondents believed that the “Arab Spring” will speed up the Palestinian reconciliation.
  • 13.3% of respondents believed that the “Arab Spring” serves Fateh better in helping her to achieve her conditions to end the Palestinian division; 24.5% believed that the “Arab Spring” serves Hamas better.
  • 69.6% of respondents believed that the surrounding Arab and international circumstances necessitate achieving reconciliation between Fateh and Hamas.
  • 79.9% of respondents are in favor of a national reconciliation government formed from among experts as stated in the Doha agreement.
  • 11.3% of respondents believed that it is Fateh that hinders the formation of a national reconciliation government: 38.2% believed that it is Hamas
  • In order for the national reconciliation to succeed, 6.5% preferred that the reconciliation government be formed from persons belonging to Fateh and Hamas, 56% preferred a government formed from qualified independent persons, and 33.5% preferred a government formed from qualified persons from Fateh and Hamas.
  • According to the points of view of respondents, it is possible to reduce the deficit that the Palestinian National Authority suffers from by:

-          38.6% Giving early retirement to some employees

-          9% Increasing taxes and imposing new taxes

-          61.2% Going back to peace negotiations so that the PA can get aids from foreign countries

-          88.1% Asking the Arab countries to pay their dues to the PA

  • Dr. Salam Fayyad’s government announced a series of rough measures to curb the deficit in the general budget. The respondents’ support to these measures were as follows:

-          9.6% Raising income tax

-          39.2% Early retirement to employees who spent more than 15 years in their jobs

-          23.4% Limiting new employments

-          76.1% Regulating the appointment of councilors according to the new civil service law

-          87.5% Regulating the use of government vehicles

-          85.2% Reducing travel allowances and travel per diem

-          52.3% Stopping supervision allowances and allowances given to hazardous jobs

  • Respondents believed that increasing the income tax on the private sector according to the new financial policy of Dr. Salam Fayyad’s government will lead to the following:

-          26.5% Increasing investment

-          63.4% Drainage of funds outside 

-          61.2% Increase in tax revenues

-          76.8% Increase in unemployment

  • According to respondents the minimum wage in Palestine must be 2386 NIS. Responses ranged between 1000 NIS and 3000 NIS.
  • 28.4% of respondents considered themselves optimistic; 67.2% considered themselves pessimistic.
  • 79.9% of respondents said that they will participate in the coming presidential elections. From among those who said they will participate, 39.7% said that they will give their votes to Fateh's candidate; 10.5% said they will give their votes to Hamas' candidate.
  • Respondents were asked to write the name of the person whom they give their votes to in case presidential elections are conducted and they are given open choice. They said they will give their votes to:

-          41.3% Mahmoud Abbas

-          15.9% Marwan Bargouthi

-          8.8% Ismael Hanyia

-          5.0% Salam Fayyad

-          3.1% Sa’ib Erikat

  • In case presidential elections are conducted and a list of candidates is given to respondents, they said they will give their votes to

-          42.0% Mahmoud Abbas

-          18.3% Marwan Bargouthi

-          9.7% Ismael Hanyia

-          5.4% Salam Fayyad

-          3.2% Sa’ib Erikat

  • In case presidential elections are held and Mr. Mahmoud Abbas does not run and a list of candidates is given to respondents, they said they will give their votes to

-          40.8% Marwan Bargouthi

-          10.9% Salam Fayyad

-          9.4% Ismael Hanyia

-          7.1% Sa’ib Erikat

-          2.9% Khalid Mishal

  • 83.3% of respondents said that they will participate in the coming legislative elections. From among those who said they will participate, 42% said that they will give their votes to Fateh's candidates; 11.9% said they will give their votes to Hamas' candidates.
  • If PLC elections are to be conducted, 47.7% of respondents expected the winning of Fateh movement; 10.9% expected the winning of Hamas.
  • 51.2% of respondents believed that if elections are conducted in the Palestinian Territories at the present time, they will be fair and unbiased.
  • 40.3% of respondents said that the current political, security and economic circumstances compel them to desire emigrating.
  • 50.2% of respondents expressed fear for their lives under the present circumstances.
  • 68% of respondents said that they are pessimistic of the general Palestinian situation at this stage.
  • 75.8% of respondents said that they neither feel safe for themselves nor for their families and properties under the current circumstances.
  • 40 As for political affiliation, respondents gave the following results:
  • 84.3% of respondents said that they will participate in the coming municipality and local council elections. From among those who said they will participate, 34.9% said that they will give their votes to Fateh’s candidates, 11.3% said they will give their votes to Hamas' candidates and 10.1% said they will give their votes to the representative of their family or clan.
  • 16.3% of respondents believed that Hamas refused to allow the Central Elections Committee to register voters in the Gaza Strip because Hamas fears that it will not win in the coming elections; 12.4% said that they refused to register voters because, they do not desire to achieve national reconciliation, and 53.9% said that Hamas refused to register voters for both of the above  reasons.

 

People’s Party

0.7%

Democratic Front

0.8%

Islamic Jihad

2.4%

Fateh

39.8%

Hamas

10.9%

Fida

0.1%

Popular Front

3.2%

Palestinian National Initiative

0.6%

I am an independent nationalist

7.9%

I am an independent Islamist

3.1%

None of the above

29.7%

Others

0.6%

 

 

 

The General Results of the Poll

 

 What do you think of the agreement that was signed at Doha between President Mahmoud Abbas and Mr. Khalid Mishal to end the Palestinian division?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

It will succeed

31.6

36.4

23.4

It will fail

61.3

58.1

66.8

No opinion/I do not know

7.1

5.6

9.8

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 Do you think that the agreement that was signed at Doha between President Mahmoud Abbas and Mr. Khalid Mishal to end the Palestinian division is feasible for implementation on the ground?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

31.7

36.1

24.0

No

62.1

59.2

67.0

No opinion/I do not know

6.2

4.6

9.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

In your opinion, who is directly responsible for deferring the implementation of the reconciliation agreement that was signed between Fateh and Hamas?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Fateh

12.3

13.7

9.8

Hamas

38.0

27.2

56.6

Others

38.6

47.3

23.6

No opinion/I do not know

11.2

11.8

10.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

Do you think that there are Arab countries that endeavor to prevent the implementation of the Palestinian reconciliation agreement signed in Doha?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

59.7

64.7

51.2

No

32.2

31.0

34.2

No opinion/I do not know

8.1

4.3

14.6

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 Which party would benefit most from preventing the implementation of the reconciliation agreement?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Fateh

16.3

19.6

10.6

Hamas

37.9

25.0

60.2

Others

37.6

46.6

22.2

No opinion/I do not know

8.2

8.8

7.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 There are those who say that Fateh movement is not concerned with the implementation of the reconciliation agreement that was signed in Doha and there are those who say that it is Hamas. In your opinion which party is not concerned?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Fateh

10.4

12.1

7.6

Hamas

35.9

27.9

49.6

Both factions

45.0

49.5

37.2

No opinion/I do not know

8.7

10.6

5.6

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 Are you optimistic or pessimistic towards the chances of implementing the reconciliation agreement in the near future?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Optimistic

38.1

46.1

24.4

Pessimistic

57.2

52.4

65.4

No opinion/I do not know

4.7

1.5

10.2

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

Do you think that the sides of the Palestinian dialogue, particularly Fateh and Hamas, are really concerned with ending the Palestinian division?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

43.3

49.9

31.8

No

43.3

37.2

53.8

I am not concerned

10.0

10.5

9.2

No opinion/I do not know

3.5

2.4

5.2

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

If the reconciliation agreement were implemented, how would that affect you personally?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Positively

58.9

59.1

58.4

Negatively

7.2

5.3

10.4

No effect

32.5

34.6

28.8

No opinion/I do not know

1.5

0.9

2.4

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

Do you think that hindering the implementation agreement is caused by some interests of some decision makers such as---?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Personal interests

41.1

39.7

43.6

The interests of their parties and factions

33.7

32.8

35.2

Regional interests

20.1

23.1

14.8

No opinion/I do not know

5.1

4.4

6.4

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

What do you think the cause of delaying the implementation of the reconciliation agreement is?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Arab pressures on some sides

13.0

13.0

13.0

Regional pressure on some sides

25.1

25.9

23.8

Factional interests of Fateh and Hamas

25.7

23.5

29.6

Personal economic interests

8.7

7.9

10.0

Personal political interests

22.9

25.1

19.0

No opinion/I do not know

4.6

4.6

4.6

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 Do you think that the implementation of the reconciliation agreement will hinder or support the peace process?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

It will hinder peace process

34.6

36.1

32.0

It will support the peace process

40.9

45.6

32.8

It will not have any effect

21.4

16.7

29.4

No opinion/I do not know

3.1

1.5

5.8

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 

 

In your opinion which side or activity is most capable internally to end the Palestinian division?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Going down to the streets for sit ins in the West Bank and Gaza

57.5

54.4

63.0

Pressure from Palestinian organizations and movements

21.2

22.5

18.8

Pressure from trade unions

4.7

4.2

5.6

Pressure from civil society organizations

8.7

11.0

4.6

No opinion/I do not know

7.9

7.9

8.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

In your opinion, which of the following is the most powerful method to solve the problem of the Palestinian division?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Foreign political pressure

17.2

17.9

16.0

Arab political pressure

15.7

15.6

15.8

Pressure from the Palestinian public

64.4

64.5

64.2

No opinion/I do not know

2.8

2.1

4.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 How do you think the Palestinian reconciliation can be achieved?

 

      Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

By intervention from Arab countries to narrow down differences in the points of view of Fateh and Hamas

11.8

11.3

12.8

Only by internal Palestinian dialogue

25.4

31.0

15.8

Both of the above

58.6

54.7

65.2

No opinion/I do not know

4.2

3.0

6.2

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 

 

Do you think the “Arab Spring” will hinder or speed up the Palestinian reconciliation?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

It will speed up reconciliation

33.0

37.0

26.0

It will hinder reconciliation

24.2

25.3

22.2

It has no effect

36.1

34.0

39.8

No opinion/I do not know

6.7

3.6

12.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

In your opinion which party (Fateh or Hamas) thinks that the “Arab Spring” serves its interest most and achieves its conditions to end the division?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Fateh

13.3

14.3

11.6

Hamas

24.5

19.4

33.4

Both equally

30.7

34.4

24.4

None of them

24.4

27.4

19.2

No opinion/I do not know

7.1

4.5

11.4

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 Do you think that the Arab and international circumstances necessitate implementing a national reconciliation between Fateh and Hamas?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

69.6

75.3

59.8

No

25.9

22.0

32.8

No opinion/I do not know

4.5

2.8

7.4

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 In the Doha agreement, the two parties agreed on forming a reconciliation government from among the experts, do you support or reject the formation of such government?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

I support

79.9

80.5

79.0

I reject

15.1

14.6

16.0

No opinion/I do not know

4.9

4.9

5.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 

 

In your opinion which side is hindering the formation of a national reconciliation government?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Fateh

11.3

12.1

10.0

Hamas

38.2

28.3

55.2

Other sides

42.6

52.5

25.6

No opinion/I do not know

7.9

7.1

9.2

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 

 In order for the reconciliation agreement to succeed and be implemented, which participants do you think should be involved in the government to be formed?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Members from Fateh and Hamas

6.5

6.6

6.4

Independent qualified members

56.0

49.7

66.8

Qualified members from Fateh and Hamas

33.5

41.0

20.6

No opinion/I do not know

4.0

2.7

6.2

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 It is known that the PA is facing a huge financial deficit because some Arab countries did not give the financial support that the Arab summit conferences approved and because aids from some foreign countries were stopped. In your opinion how can the financial deficit be reduced?

Total

 

Yes

No

No opinion

/I do not know

Total

Turning some employees to early retirement

38.6

58.9

2.4

100.0

Increasing taxes and imposing new ones

9.0

90.0

1.0

100.0

Going back to peace talks so that foreign  aid can be resumed

61.2

36.5

2.3

 

Asking Arab countries to pay the financial dues that they committed themselves to

88.1

10.0

1.9

100.0

West Bank

 

Yes

No

No opinion

/I do not know

Total

Turning some employees to early retirement

40.8

57.7

1.5

100.0

Increasing taxes and imposing new ones

8.4

91.4

0.2

100.0

Going back to peace talks so that foreign  aid can be resumed

62.5

35.9

1.6

100.0

Asking Arab countries to pay the financial dues that they committed themselves to

88.5

10.8

0.7

100.0

Gaza Strip

 

Yes

No

No opinion

/I do not know

Total

Turning some employees to early retirement

35.0

61.0

4.0

100.0

Increasing taxes and imposing new ones

10.2

87.6

2.2

100.0

Going back to peace talks so that foreign  aid can be resumed

59.0

37.6

3.4

100.0

Asking Arab countries to pay the financial dues that they committed themselves to pay

87.4

8.6

4.0

100.0

 

 

 

 

 Salam Fayyad’s government announced a series of procedures to reduce the deficit in the general budget of the PA. Which of the following procedures do you support or reject?

Total

 

I support

I reject

No opinion

/I do not know

Total

Raising income tax

9.6

88.8

1.6

100.0

Early retirement to employees who spent more than 15 years in their jobs

39.2

58.8

2.1

100.0

Limiting new employments

23.4

74.4

2.1

100.0

Regulating the appointment of councilors according to the new civil service law.   

76.1

18.1

5.8

100.0

Regulating the use of government vehicles

87.5

10.7

1.8

100.0

Reducing travel allowances and travel per diem

85.2

11.8

3.0

100.0

Stopping supervision allowances and allowances given to hazardous jobs

52.3

42.8

4.8

100.0

West Bank

 

I support

I reject

No opinion

/I do not know

Total

Raising income tax

8.0

91.4

0.6

100.0

Early retirement to employees who spent more than 15 years in their jobs

44.1

54.8

1.0

100.0

Limiting new employments

23.1

75.1

1.7

100.0

Regulating the appointment of councilors according to the new civil service law.   

80.5

15.1

4.4

100.0

Regulating the use of government vehicles

92.2

7.2

0.6

100.0

Reducing travel allowances and travel per diem

88.5

9.8

1.7

100.0

Stopping supervision allowances and allowances given to hazardous jobs

56.2

39.4

4.4

100.0

Gaza Strip

 

I support

I reject

No opinion

/I do not know

Total

Raising income tax

12.2

84.4

3.4

100.0

Early retirement to employees who spent more than 15 years in their jobs

30.6

65.6

3.8

100.0

Limiting new employments

24.0

73.2

2.8

100.0

Regulating the appointment of councilors according to the new civil service law.   

68.6

23.2

8.2

100.0

Regulating the use of government vehicles

79.4

16.6

4.0

100.0

Reducing travel allowances and travel per diem

79.6

15.2

5.2

100.0

Stopping supervision allowances and allowances given to hazardous jobs

45.6

48.8

5.6

100.0

 

What do you think increasing the income tax on the private sector according to the new financial policy of Dr. Salam Fayyad’s government will lead to?

Total

 

Yes

No

No opinion

/I do not know

Total

Increasing investment

26.5

67.9

5.6

100.0

Drainage of funds outside 

63.4

30.2

6.4

100.0

Increase in tax revenues

61.2

32.3

6.5

100.0

Increase in unemployment

76.8

18.2

5.0

100.0

West Bank

 

Yes

No

No opinion

/I do not know

Total

Increasing investment

24.0

71.4

4.5

100.0

Drainage of funds outside 

71.0

25.3

3.7

100.0

Increase in tax revenues

63.8

31.2

5.0

100.0

Increase in unemployment

84.8

13.1

2.1

100.0

Gaza Strip

 

Yes

No

No opinion

/I do not know

Total

Increasing investment

30.8

61.8

7.4

100.0

Drainage of funds outside 

50.4

38.6

11.0

100.0

Increase in tax revenues

56.8

34.0

9.2

100.0

Increase in unemployment

63.0

27.0

10.0

100.0

 

 

There is a current on-going talk relating to defining the minimum wage in Palestine. In your opinion what should the minimum wage be?

 

Mean

West Bank

2513.4

Gaza Strip

2168.3

Total

2386.6

 

 

Do you consider yourself optimistic or pessimistic towards the success of the peace process between the Palestinian Authority and Israel?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Optimistic

28.4

33.7

19.4

Pessimistic

67.2

64.8

71.2

No opinion/I do not know

4.4

1.5

9.4

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 If presidential elections are held in the present time, to whom from among the following do you give your vote?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

An independent candidate

11.2

13.2

7.6

A candidate from the left

3.3

3.6

2.8

A candidate from Hamas

8.4

7.8

9.4

A candidate from Fateh

31.7

26.6

40.6

A national independent candidate

6.0

6.2

5.8

An Islamic independent candidate

3.4

2.8

4.4

I will not participate in the elections

20.1

20.1

20.0

I have not decided yet

15.9

19.7

9.4

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

 

If Presidential elections are conducted, name the person that you will vote for as president of the PA.

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Ahmas Saadat

2.3

1.7

3.2

Ahmad Qura'

0.4

0.2

0.6

Ismael Hanyia

8.8

8.7

9.0

Altayeb Abdulrahim

0.2

0.2

0.2

Amin Maqbol

0.1

0.1

0.0

Basam Alsalhy

0.4

0.5

0.4

Tayseer Khalid

0.1

0.0

0.2

Gebreal Alrjoub

0.4

0.5

0.4

Jamal Al-Kudari

0.7

0.0

1.8

Khalid Albatsh

0.1

0.1

0.0

Khalid Mishal

1.9

2.0

1.8

Ramadan Shalah

0.7

0.0

1.8

Salam Fayyad

5.0

4.4

6.0

Sa’ib Erikat

3.1

2.6

4.0

Abbas Zaki

0.1

0.1

0.0

Abdulrahim Mallooh

0.5

0.1

1.2

Adly Yaesh

0.2

0.3

0.0

Aziz Dweek

0.2

0.3

0.0

Isam Abu Baker

0.1

0.1

0.0

Ghasan Alshaka'

0.1

0.1

0.0

Mazin Sunqrot

0.1

0.1

0.0

Mohamed Dahlan

0.9

0.0

2.4

Mahmoud Zahar

0.7

0.3

1.4

Mahmoud Al-Alool

0.3

0.3

0.2

Mahmoud Abbas

41.3

42.3

39.6

Marwan Bargouthi

15.9

14.1

19.0

Mustafa Barguothi

1.6

0.9

2.8

Munib Al-Masri

2.1

1.9

2.4

Nase EdDean Alsha'er

0.1

0.1

0.0

Yaser Abed Raboh

0.1

0.1

0.0

I do not Know

3.9

5.8

0.6

No one

7.9

11.8

1.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 

Which one of the following will you vote for in case they run for the position of the president of the PA?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Mahmoud Abbas

42.0

42.7

40.8

Ismael Hanyia

9.7

9.9

9.4

Marwan Bargouthi

18.3

17.9

19.0

Salam Fayyad

5.4

4.9

6.2

Khalid Mishal

2.5

2.8

2.0

Ahmad Qurai’

0.4

0.3

0.6

Ramadan Shallah

0.9

0.2

2.0

Sa’ib Erikat

3.2

2.8

4.0

Ahmad Sa’adat

2.7

2.6

3.0

Mahmoud Zahar

1.0

0.7

1.4

Mustafa Barguothi

1.8

0.9

3.2

Bassam Al-Salihi

0.5

0.6

0.4

Jamal Al-Kudari

0.7

0.0

2.0

Munib Al-Masri

2.3

2.2

2.4

Al-Tayyb Abdulrahim

0.2

0.2

0.2

Abbas Zaki

0.1

0.2

0.0

Jebril Al-Rujub

0.7

0.9

0.4

Mahmoud Al-Alool

0.3

0.3

0.2

Abdulrahim Mallooh

0.5

0.1

1.2

Tayseer Khalid

0.3

0.0

0.8

None of the above

6.4

9.6

0.8

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 If President Mahmoud Abbas does not run for the position of the President of the PA and the following persons run, which one of them will you vote for?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Ismael Hanyia

9.4

10.0

8.4

Marwan Bargouthi

40.8

40.3

41.6

Salam Fayyad

10.9

8.8

14.4

Khalid Mishal

2.9

3.3

2.4

Ahmad Qurai’

0.8

0.7

1.0

Ramadan Shallah

1.0

0.2

2.2

Sa’ib Erikat

7.1

5.6

9.8

Ahmad Sa’adat

2.7

2.7

2.8

Mahmoud Zahar

1.0

0.8

1.4

Mustafa Barguothi

1.5

0.9

2.4

Bassam Al-Salihi

0.6

0.6

0.6

Jamal Al-Kudari

0.7

0.1

1.8

Munib Al-Masri

2.7

3.1

2.0

Al-Tayyb Abdulrahim

1.3

1.5

1.0

Abbas Zaki

0.4

0.3

0.6

Jebril Al-Rujub

1.0

1.4

0.4

Mahmoud Al-Alool

2.1

2.9

0.8

Abdulrahim Mallooh

0.7

0.3

1.2

Tayseer Khalid

0.2

0.0

0.6

None of the above

12.0

16.4

4.6

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 If new PLC elections are conducted, whom will you vote for?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

An independent ticket

10.8

12.8

7.4

A ticket from the left

3.4

3.6

3.0

A ticket from Hamas

9.9

9.4

10.8

A ticket from Fateh

35.0

30.2

43.2

A national independent ticket

6.2

6.3

6.2

An Islamic independent ticket

4.5

3.9

5.4

I will not participate in the elections

16.7

17.8

14.8

I have not decided yet

13.5

16.0

9.2

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 If new legislative elections are to be held today, which of the following will win?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Independent Islamists bloc

4.6

4.4

5.0

Independent Nationalist bloc

10.9

11.1

10.6

Fateh bloc

47.7

48.4

46.4

Hamas bloc

15.0

17.0

11.6

A bloc from leftist organizations

2.3

2.2

2.4

No opinion/I do not know

19.5

16.8

24.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 If municipality and local council elections are to be held, who do you vote for?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

A block that represents the family or clan

8.5

12.2

2.2

An independent ticket

9.8

10.2

9.2

A ticket from the left

2.6

2.7

2.4

A ticket from Hamas

9.5

8.8

10.6

A ticket from Fateh

29.4

22.6

41.0

A national independent ticket

6.8

7.2

6.0

An Islamic independent ticket

3.8

3.3

4.8

I will not participate in the elections

15.7

16.0

15.2

I have not decided yet

13.9

17.0

8.6

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

If elections are conducted in the Palestinian Territories at the present time, do you expect that they will be fair and unbiased?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

51.2

54.8

45.0

No

41.5

40.0

44.2

No opinion/I do not know

7.3

5.2

10.8

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

What do you think the reason is behind Hamas’ refusal to conduct electoral registration in the Gaza Strip?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Fear of not winning in the next elections

16.3

15.2

18.2

Reluctance to conclude a reconciliation agreement

12.4

15.3

7.4

Both of the above

53.9

52.8

55.6

No opinion/I do not know

17.4

16.6

18.8

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

Do the current political, security and economic circumstances compel you to desire emigrating abroad?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

40.3

31.7

55.2

No

58.2

67.7

41.8

No opinion/I do not know

1.5

0.6

3.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 Are you worried about your life under the present circumstances?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

50.2

41.5

65.2

No

48.3

58.1

31.6

No opinion/I do not know

1.5

0.5

3.2

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 Are you pessimistic or optimistic towards the general Palestinian situation at this stage?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Optimistic

29.2

36.8

16.2

Pessimistic

68.0

62.0

78.2

No opinion/I do not know

2.8

1.2

5.6

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

 Under the present circumstances, do you feel that you, your family and your properties are safe?

 

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

Yes

23.2

30.5

10.6

May be

35.3

32.2

40.8

No

40.5

37.0

46.4

No opinion/I do not know

1.0

0.2

2.2

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 

  Which of the following political affiliations do you support?

PARTY

Total

West Bank

Gaza Strip

People’s Party

0.7

0.7

0.8

Democratic Front

0.8

0.8

0.8

Islamic Jihad

2.4

0.2

6.2

Fateh

39.8

36.0

46.4

Hamas

10.9

11.0

10.8

Fida

0.1

0.1

0.2

Popular Front

3.2

3.3

3.2

Palestinian National Initiative

0.6

0.7

0.4

I am an independent nationalist

7.9

9.1

6.0

I am an independent Islamist

3.1

3.1

3.0

None of the above

29.7

34.6

21.2

Others

0.6

0.3

1.0

Total

100.0

100.0

100.0

 


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